Here’s Why Inflation Will Keep on Slowing
Our leading indicator of inflation growth tells us the Consumer Price Index is headed even lower when the May data is released. That should support the outlook for stocks...
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How to Escape The “Winner’s Curse”
Betting on perfection is a fool’s errand in any environment. It’s particularly risky today as the economy teeters on the edge of recession and a looming debt crisis. Fortunately, the bubble in AI and tech stocks is setting up a tremendous opportunity elsewhere.
The One Industry with a Hidden “Rate Hike Upside”
The large amount of refinancing and purchase activity that took place during the COVID boom means existing homeowners are unlikely to add supply to the market. Interest rate hikes slowed down one part of the housing market, but they’re creating a tailwind for another…
Why Artificial Intelligence Investors Are Heading For A “Die-Up”
Could you make a fortune buying into the AI boom today? Perhaps. We would rather own a world-beating business in a sector that is uniquely underappreciated by investors. In this issue, we recommend one of the highest-quality businesses ever created.
Portfolio Update: Four Deeply Distressed Industries to Watch
In our view, the distress ratio is likely to double or triple from its current level by late 2023 or early 2024. And that means a crop of new distressed opportunities will soon arise.
Our New “Rate Cut” Signal Is A Positive for Tech Stocks
The real federal funds rate (interest rates minus CPI) recently turned positive. It should expand more by year’s end. That has historically preceded big rallies in technology stocks.
Why Tesla Is In Deep Trouble
Tesla’s rivals have been investing heavily in their own EV production and are now, for the first time, challenging the company in quality, innovation, and performance. This means that Tesla is now staring down a threat unlike any it has seen before.
Don’t Believe the Fearmongering: Stocks Are Headed Higher
Speculator short positioning in stocks has reached an extreme. They're all piled into the same negative bets. Before long, those same investors will rush for the exit, creating a scramble to buy back stock.
The Buy Signal No One Sees Coming
If the Federal Reserve is ending rate hikes, that means we’re reaching peak interest rates. And if you’re a bond investor, that’s a huge deal… because, if the coupon payment on sovereign debt isn’t going higher, soon you won’t be able to lock in today’s high yield.
A “Gold Digger” That Gets Paid to Do Nothing
Unless central banks and policymakers are willing to deal with a major credit crash, all roads lead back to lower interest rates and more money printing. That’s why we believe now is the time to safeguard your wealth from the demise of fiat currencies with the two ultimate stores of value.